Tennis · Challenger Ningbo · 25/10, 04:00
Prediction: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov
Team pages: Semen Pankin · Maxim Zhukov
Prediction summary
Winner
Semen Pankin
Maxim Zhukov
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Semen Pankin
3-7 (W-L)
Maxim Zhukov
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Semen Pankin 1416 · Maxim Zhukov 1487
| Semen Pankin | Maxim Zhukov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maxim Zhukov (rating 1416 vs 1487).
- Maxim Zhukov is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Maxim Zhukov makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Semen Pankin | Maxim Zhukov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 13% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.6 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-11.4 | 12.4-12.2 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 73% | 71% |
| Break % | 15.9% | 35.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Semen Pankin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Dominik Palan Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Xi Cheng Huang Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/10 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Alex Bolt Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Sheng Tang M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Yaojie Zeng M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Elias Ymer Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 07/09 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Maxim Zhukov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 13/09 | Thijmen Loof Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 02/08 | Kerem Yilmaz Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 29/03 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/03 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/03 | Hanyi Liu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 26/03 | Linang Xiao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 25/03 | Ruslan Serazhetdinov M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/03 | Karlis Ozolins M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 21/03 | Evgeny Philippov M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov?
Our model gives 52% to Semen Pankin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.