Tennis · Challenger Ningbo · 25/10, 10:00
Prediction: Martin Borisiouk vs Yaroslav Demin
Team pages: Martin Borisiouk · Yaroslav Demin
Prediction summary
Winner
Martin Borisiouk
Yaroslav Demin
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Martin Borisiouk
6-4 (W-L)
Yaroslav Demin
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martin Borisiouk 1535 · Yaroslav Demin 1507
| Martin Borisiouk | Yaroslav Demin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Martin Borisiouk dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 41.8% break avg.
- Yaroslav Demin dominates on serve: 6 aces and 44.8% break avg.
Statistics
| Martin Borisiouk | Yaroslav Demin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-9.8 | 10.7-10.2 |
| Aces | 7.3 | 6 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 80.1% | 71.5% |
| Break % | 41.8% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martin Borisiouk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Sergey Fomin M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/10 | Kristjan Tamm M25 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 15/10 | Anthony Susanto M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Lingxi Zhao M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 8-2 | W |
| 06/10 | Omar Jasika Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 05/10 | Kristjan Tamm Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Jumpei Yamasaki Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Florent Bax Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Dominik Palan Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Yaroslav Demin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Akira Santillan Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 19/10 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/10 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 14/10 | Filip Peliwo M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Akira Santillan Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Beibit Zhukayev Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Jack Loge M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Niklas Schell M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martin Borisiouk vs Yaroslav Demin?
Our model gives 52% to Martin Borisiouk, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.