Tennis · Challenger Ningbo · 25/10, 08:30
Prediction: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Qian Sun
Team pages: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong · Qian Sun
Prediction summary
Winner
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Qian Sun
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
5-5 (W-L)
Qian Sun
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 1523 · Qian Sun 1484
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | Qian Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Qian Sun dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 42.7% break avg.
- Note: Qian Sun makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | Qian Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-9.4 | 12.4-12.6 |
| Aces | 5 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 74.4% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 40.6% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 17/09 | James Trotter Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/09 | Ye Hongyu Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Qian Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Fajing Sun Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Jinan · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/10 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 17/09 | Alibek Kachmazov M25 Guiyang |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Lachlan Vickery M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Yuta Tomida M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Colin Sinclair M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/09 | Miles Jones M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Ammar Faleh Alhogbani M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Qian Sun?
Our model gives 69% to Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.