Tennis · Challenger Seoul · 25/10, 02:30
Prediction: Alibek Kachmazov vs Dong Ju Kim
Team pages: Alibek Kachmazov · Dong Ju Kim
Prediction summary
Winner
Alibek Kachmazov
Dong Ju Kim
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alibek Kachmazov
8-2 (W-L)
Dong Ju Kim
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alibek Kachmazov 1619 · Dong Ju Kim 1524
| Alibek Kachmazov | Dong Ju Kim | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alibek Kachmazov (rating 1619 vs 1524).
- Alibek Kachmazov dominates on serve: 8.9 aces and 40.6% break avg.
- Alibek Kachmazov is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alibek Kachmazov | Dong Ju Kim | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 88% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.4 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-9.7 | 11.4-10.5 |
| Aces | 8.9 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 81.1% | 62% |
| Break % | 40.6% | 34.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alibek Kachmazov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Jinan · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 11/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 10/10 | Omar Jasika Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/10 | Fajing Sun Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Evan Zhu Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/10 | Charles Broom Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 05/10 | Grigoriy Lomakin Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/10 | Yan Lang Chen Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/09 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/09 | Mukund Sasikumar M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Dong Ju Kim
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Yan Cheng Chen M25 Luan · ~Hard |
1-1 | 8-6 | W |
| 07/10 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/09 | Xing Dao Chen M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Tran Quoc Cuong Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/09 | Grigoriy Lomakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Kristjan Tamm Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Fumin Jiang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Ku Keon Kang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alibek Kachmazov vs Dong Ju Kim?
Our model gives 74% to Alibek Kachmazov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.