Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville · 27/10, 20:00
Prediction: Birtan Duran vs Alejandro Moreno
Team pages: Birtan Duran · Alejandro Moreno
Prediction summary
Winner
Birtan Duran
Alejandro Moreno
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Birtan Duran
3-7 (W-L)
Alejandro Moreno
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Birtan Duran 1471 · Alejandro Moreno 1490
| Birtan Duran | Alejandro Moreno | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Birtan Duran | Alejandro Moreno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-10.6 | 9.4-9.1 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.1% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 35.8% | 44.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Birtan Duran
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Matei Cristian Onofrei UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 11/09 | Adrien Jonah Abarca UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/09 | Alan Bojarski UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Aleksandr Kalinin UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Diego Duran UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 5-8 | L |
| 23/08 | Antoine Mayoral UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/08 | Clement Mayoral UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Asier Ayllon Prado UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 19/08 | Photos Photiades UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Alejandro Moreno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Marko Mesarovic M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Hugo Coquelin M15 Ann Arbor |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 12/09 | Martin Doskocil UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/09 | Shion Itsusaki UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/09 | Joaquin Benoit UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Carlos Victor Ferreira Gonzales UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Leo Pade UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Jon Gamble M25 Southaven |
0-2 | 4-9 | L |
| 22/07 | Marko Miladinovic M25 Champaign |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Ethan Muza M25 Champaign |
2-1 | 10-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Birtan Duran vs Alejandro Moreno?
Our model gives 55% to Alejandro Moreno, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.