Prediction: Leylah Annie Fernandez vs Himeno Sakatsume
Team pages: Leylah Annie Fernandez · Himeno Sakatsume
Prediction summary
Winner
Leylah Annie Fernandez
Himeno Sakatsume
Estimated games
22.5Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Leylah Annie Fernandez
5-5 (W-L)
Himeno Sakatsume
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leylah Annie Fernandez 1602 · Himeno Sakatsume 1518
| Leylah Annie Fernandez | Himeno Sakatsume | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leylah Annie Fernandez (rating 1602 vs 1518).
- Note: Leylah Annie Fernandez makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Leylah Annie Fernandez | Himeno Sakatsume | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.9 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-11.2 | 12-10.1 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 2 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 57% | 45.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +4
Over 18.5: 76% · 1.83
Under 18.5: 24% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leylah Annie Fernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 21/10 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 19/10 | Elise Mertens WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 15/10 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Han Shi WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/10 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 03/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/09 | Talia Gibson WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 26/09 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Himeno Sakatsume
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Katie Boulter WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Ayla Aksu WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Simona Waltert WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 07/10 | Viktoria Hruncakova WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Dominika Salkova WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Dayeon Back Asian Games |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Taylah Preston WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Cristina Bucsa US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 31/08 | Anhelina Kalinina US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/08 | Mia Ristic US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leylah Annie Fernandez vs Himeno Sakatsume?
Our model gives 74% to Leylah Annie Fernandez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.