Tennis · WTA Guangzhou · 27/10, 05:00
Prediction: Katerina Siniakova vs Lanlana Tararudee
Team pages: Katerina Siniakova · Lanlana Tararudee
Prediction summary
Winner
Katerina Siniakova
Lanlana Tararudee
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Katerina Siniakova
6-4 (W-L)
Lanlana Tararudee
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Katerina Siniakova
1–0
Lanlana Tararudee
(1 last)
- 29 Jul2-1 14-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katerina Siniakova 1545 · Lanlana Tararudee 1505
| Katerina Siniakova | Lanlana Tararudee | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 64% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Katerina Siniakova (rating 1545 vs 1505).
- Head-to-head: Katerina Siniakova 1–0 Lanlana Tararudee (1).
- Note: Katerina Siniakova makes many double faults (5.5/match).
- Note: Lanlana Tararudee makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Katerina Siniakova | Lanlana Tararudee | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.3 | 10.5-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 46.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Katerina Siniakova 1 – 0 Lanlana Tararudee (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Katerina Siniakova 1–0 Lanlana Tararudee
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/25 WTA Warsaw | 2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katerina Siniakova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Katie Boulter WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Mary Stoiana WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/10 | Magda Linette WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 03/10 | Elina Svitolina WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Magda Linette WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Naomi Osaka US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Madison Keys WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
Lanlana Tararudee
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/10 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 12/10 | Diane Parry WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/10 | Caty McNally WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 10/10 | Claire Liu WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/10 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Maya Joint WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Sohyun Park WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katerina Siniakova vs Lanlana Tararudee?
Our model gives 60% to Katerina Siniakova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.