Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville Women · 27/10, 17:00
Prediction: Audrey Aulia vs Joanna Kennedy
Team pages: Audrey Aulia · Joanna Kennedy
Prediction summary
Winner
Audrey Aulia
Joanna Kennedy
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Audrey Aulia
4-6 (W-L)
Joanna Kennedy
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Audrey Aulia 1514 · Joanna Kennedy 1604
| Audrey Aulia | Joanna Kennedy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joanna Kennedy (rating 1514 vs 1604).
- Joanna Kennedy is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Audrey Aulia makes many double faults (4.8/match).
- Note: Joanna Kennedy makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Audrey Aulia | Joanna Kennedy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.9-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-13 | 14.3-9.2 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 58.1% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 56% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Audrey Aulia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Maeve Thornton UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 07/09 | Nadia Elle Valdez UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 14/08 | Mariana Manyoma UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/08 | Kaya Moe UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Isabella Camacho UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 11/08 | Ariana Gilbert UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 18/07 | Lillie Murphy UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Mia Robinson UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 16/07 | Liam Oved UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Joanna Kennedy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Carlota Moreno UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 11/09 | Emmie Moore UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 10/09 | Saray Yli-Piipari UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/09 | Francesca Mattioli UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 07/09 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/05 | Maria Sholokhova UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/05 | Ekaterina Ivanova UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 21/05 | Jenna Sloan UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/05 | Ellison Reynoldson UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 19/05 | Emmi Kolyszko UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Audrey Aulia vs Joanna Kennedy?
Our model gives 65% to Joanna Kennedy, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.