Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville Women · 27/10, 17:00
Prediction: Amina Salibayeva vs Sarah Mildren
Team pages: Amina Salibayeva · Sarah Mildren
Prediction summary
Winner
Amina Salibayeva
Sarah Mildren
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Amina Salibayeva
4-6 (W-L)
Sarah Mildren
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amina Salibayeva 1532 · Sarah Mildren 1476
| Amina Salibayeva | Sarah Mildren | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amina Salibayeva (rating 1532 vs 1476).
Statistics
| Amina Salibayeva | Sarah Mildren | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-10.1 | 10.2-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 58.3% |
| Break % | 50.5% | 55.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amina Salibayeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Mary Boyce Deatherage UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 12/09 | Nicole Okhtenberg UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Monika Wojcik UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Cecilie Maeland UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Hayley Roberts UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Ariana Gilbert UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Kaya Moe UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Mary Boyce Deatherage UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Brooke Lynn Schafer UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Sarah Mildren
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Chiara Di Genova UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/09 | Audelie Lesauvage UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/09 | Skylar Kasday UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Alyson Shannon UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Alice Battesti UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Carlota Moreno UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 31/07 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Jizelle Sibai W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Himari Sato W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/07 | Destanee Aiava W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amina Salibayeva vs Sarah Mildren?
Our model gives 53% to Sarah Mildren, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.