Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville Women · 27/10, 17:00
Prediction: Alyson Shannon vs Ava Esposito Cogan
Team pages: Alyson Shannon · Ava Esposito Cogan
Prediction summary
Winner
Alyson Shannon
Ava Esposito Cogan
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alyson Shannon
4-6 (W-L)
Ava Esposito Cogan
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alyson Shannon 1529 · Ava Esposito Cogan 1578
| Alyson Shannon | Ava Esposito Cogan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ava Esposito Cogan (rating 1529 vs 1578).
- Note: Ava Esposito Cogan makes many double faults (8.4/match).
Statistics
| Alyson Shannon | Ava Esposito Cogan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.8 | 12.5-8.8 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 8.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 71.4% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alyson Shannon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Saray Yli-Piipari UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Nadia Elle Valdez UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 10/09 | Sarah Mildren UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Skylar Kasday UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Carlota Moreno UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Alice Battesti UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Alian Zack UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Ella Brownback UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 23/07 | Zuzanna Kubacha UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Zimora Mcknight UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Ava Esposito Cogan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Kaya Moe UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 13/08 | Allison Isaacs UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 12/08 | Mariana Manyoma UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/08 | Sabritt Dozier UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 08/08 | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Brooke Lynn Schafer UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/08 | Monika Wojcik UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Kesmat El Tawil UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alyson Shannon vs Ava Esposito Cogan?
Our model gives 66% to Ava Esposito Cogan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.