Prediction: Remy Bertola vs Jakub Paul
Team pages: Remy Bertola · Jakub Paul
Prediction summary
Winner
Remy Bertola
Jakub Paul
Estimated games
24.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Remy Bertola
5-5 (W-L)
Jakub Paul
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Remy Bertola
0–1
Jakub Paul
(1 last)
- 12 Mar0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Remy Bertola 1461 · Jakub Paul 1499
| Remy Bertola | Jakub Paul | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Remy Bertola 0–1 Jakub Paul (1).
Statistics
| Remy Bertola | Jakub Paul | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.5 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.8-15.2 | 10.7-11.4 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 0.6 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 37.7% | 37.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.8
Over 22.5: 62% · 1.72
Under 22.5: 38% · 2.00
H2H · Remy Bertola 0 – 1 Jakub Paul (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Remy Bertola 0–1 Jakub Paul
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/24 Challenger Hamburg | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Remy Bertola
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | David Goffin ATP Brussels · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/10 | Federico Cina ATP Brussels · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 17/10 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 14/10 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Alexandre Reco Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/09 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Davis Cup |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 03/09 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Jerome Kym Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Jakub Paul
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Loann Massard Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 11/10 | Niels McDonald Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Michele Mecarelli Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/05 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 11/05 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/03 | Dusan Lajovic ATP Marrakech · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Remy Bertola vs Jakub Paul?
Our model gives 58% to Remy Bertola, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.