Tennis · WTA Tokyo · 25/10, 02:30
Prediction: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Kamilla Rakhimova
Team pages: Aliaksandra Sasnovich · Kamilla Rakhimova
Prediction summary
Winner
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Kamilla Rakhimova
Estimated games
20.7Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
7-3 (W-L)
Kamilla Rakhimova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1555 · Kamilla Rakhimova 1519
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Kamilla Rakhimova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kamilla Rakhimova makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Kamilla Rakhimova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-8.3 | 10.7-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 58.6% |
| Break % | 54.3% | 44.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -1.8
Over 22.5: 38% · 2.00
Under 22.5: 62% · 1.72
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/10 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 19/10 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Anna Bondar WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/10 | Xinxin Yao WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Talia Gibson WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Kamilla Rakhimova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Shiho Tsujioka WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/10 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 17/10 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/10 | Han Shi WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/10 | Sofia Kenin WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/10 | Iva Jovic WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/10 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/09 | Katie Volynets WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Kamilla Rakhimova?
Our model gives 54% to Aliaksandra Sasnovich, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.