Tennis · WTA Guangzhou · 25/10, 04:00
Prediction: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Polina Iatcenko
Team pages: Alevtina Ibragimova · Polina Iatcenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Alevtina Ibragimova
Polina Iatcenko
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alevtina Ibragimova
4-6 (W-L)
Polina Iatcenko
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alevtina Ibragimova 1502 · Polina Iatcenko 1521
| Alevtina Ibragimova | Polina Iatcenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Polina Iatcenko makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Alevtina Ibragimova | Polina Iatcenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11 | 11.2-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 55.3% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 48.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alevtina Ibragimova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Rina Saigo WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 05/10 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 29/09 | Daria Khomutsianskaya WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 22/09 | Yeon Woo Ku WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Sara Saito WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/09 | Rina Saigo WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Rositsa Dencheva WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 11/09 | Aurora Zantedeschi WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Polina Iatcenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Alexandra Shubladze WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 12/10 | Harmony Tan WTA Rovereto · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 09/10 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Dalma Galfi WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/10 | Suzan Lamens WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/09 | Erika Andreeva WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 25/09 | Ksenia Zaytseva WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Weronika Falkowska WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/09 | Viktoria Hruncakova WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alevtina Ibragimova vs Polina Iatcenko?
Our model gives 57% to Polina Iatcenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.