Prediction: Marcos Giron vs Yannick Hanfmann
Team pages: Marcos Giron · Yannick Hanfmann
Prediction summary
Winner
Marcos Giron
Yannick Hanfmann
Estimated games
26.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Marcos Giron
4-6 (W-L)
Yannick Hanfmann
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marcos Giron
1–2
Yannick Hanfmann
(3 last)
- 23 Apr1-2 16-19L
- 06 Nov0-2 10-13L
- 14 Jan3-1 22-17W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marcos Giron 1399 · Yannick Hanfmann 1472
| Marcos Giron | Yannick Hanfmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yannick Hanfmann (rating 1399 vs 1472).
- Head-to-head: Marcos Giron 1–2 Yannick Hanfmann (3).
Statistics
| Marcos Giron | Yannick Hanfmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.8 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-14.5 | 12.3-13.9 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 11.1 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 37.3% | 31.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.1 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +3.6
Over 22.5: 73% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 27% · 1.83
H2H · Marcos Giron 1 – 2 Yannick Hanfmann (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marcos Giron 1–2 Yannick Hanfmann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/26 ATP Madrid | 1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 06/11/25 ATP Athens | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/01/25 Australian Open | 3-1 | 22-17 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marcos Giron
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/10 | Sebastian Baez ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Jaume Munar ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 02/09 | Ignacio Buse US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 20-27 | L |
| 24/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Henrique Rocha ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Cruz Hewitt ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Andre Ilagan ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Yannick Hanfmann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Martin Damm ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 28/09 | Tomas Machac ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 31/08 | Alejandro Tabilo US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-24 | L |
| 16/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Luca Van Assche ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marcos Giron vs Yannick Hanfmann?
Our model gives 62% to Yannick Hanfmann, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.