Prediction: Jaime Faria vs Mika Brunold
Team pages: Jaime Faria · Mika Brunold
Prediction summary
Winner
Jaime Faria
Mika Brunold
Estimated games
24.4Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jaime Faria
6-4 (W-L)
Mika Brunold
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jaime Faria 1469 · Mika Brunold 1601
| Jaime Faria | Mika Brunold | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mika Brunold (rating 1469 vs 1601).
- Mika Brunold is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Jaime Faria makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Jaime Faria | Mika Brunold | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.7 | 1.9-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-16.2 | 13-10 |
| Aces | 8.9 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 6.1 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 29.6% | 46.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.9
Over 22.5: 63% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 37% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jaime Faria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Felix Balshaw ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 07/10 | Arthur Gea ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 02/10 | Jaume Munar ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Arthur Fery ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 29/09 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 28/09 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Hugo Gaston ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 24/09 | Terence Atmane ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 03/09 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 11-22 | L |
| 30/08 | Jenson Brooksby US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 24-23 | W |
Mika Brunold
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/10 | Jerome Kym Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/10 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/10 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 12/10 | Mathys Domenc Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 17/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 13/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/09 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jaime Faria vs Mika Brunold?
Our model gives 55% to Mika Brunold, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.