Tennis · ATP Basel · 24/10, 14:30

Prediction: Henry Bernet vs Daniel Altmaier

Team pages: Henry Bernet · Daniel Altmaier

Prediction summary
Winner
48% 52%
Henry Bernet Daniel Altmaier
Estimated games
22.7Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Henry Bernet 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWWLLWWL
Daniel Altmaier 2-8 (W-L)
WLLLLLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Henry Bernet 1557 · Daniel Altmaier 1480
Henry BernetDaniel Altmaier
Our model61%39%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Henry Bernet (rating 1557 vs 1480).
  • Henry Bernet is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Henry BernetDaniel Altmaier
Win %80%40%
Win % · Hard 71% (7) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.50.9-1.5
Games (G-P)12.6-9.811.1-13.7
Aces8.18
Double faults2.33
1st serve %78.8%72%
Break %35.3%34.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.7 · Bet365 line 24.5 · -1.8
Over 24.5: 37% · 1.83 Under 24.5: 63% · 1.83

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Henry Bernet

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/10 Clement Tabur
Challenger Roanne · Hard
1-2 15-16 L
12/10 Thijs Boogaard
Challenger Roanne · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
11/10 Maximilian Neuchrist
Challenger Roanne · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
03/10 Clement Chidekh
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
02/10 Felix Balshaw
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
2-1 15-11 W
01/10 Dominic Stephan Stricker
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
30/09 Daniil Glinka
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
26/09 Samir Banerjee
M25 Falun
2-0 13-10 W
25/09 Andreja Petrovic
M25 Falun
2-0 13-9 W
24/09 Karl Friberg
M25 Falun
2-0 13-8 W

Daniel Altmaier

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/10 Taylor Fritz
ATP Lyon · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
22/10 Borna Gojo
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
20/10 Titouan Droguet
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-1 19-19 W
09/10 Ben Shelton
ATP Shanghai · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
07/10 Holger Rune
ATP Shanghai · Hard
2-1 14-16 W
28/09 Jie Cui
ATP Beijing · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
19/09 Dino Prizmic
Davis Cup
0-2 7-12 L
02/09 Zachary Svajda
US Open · Hard
1-3 13-24 L
26/08 Ignacio Buse
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
25/08 Francisco Comesana
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 13-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Henry Bernet vs Daniel Altmaier?

Our model gives 52% to Daniel Altmaier, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.