Prediction: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs James Duckworth
Team pages: Aleksandar Kovacevic · James Duckworth
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksandar Kovacevic
James Duckworth
Estimated games
23.5Bet365 line 25.5
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksandar Kovacevic
5-5 (W-L)
James Duckworth
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Aleksandar Kovacevic
0–1
James Duckworth
(1 last)
- 11 Oct0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksandar Kovacevic 1456 · James Duckworth 1490
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | James Duckworth | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Aleksandar Kovacevic dominates on serve: 9.5 aces and 42.5% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Aleksandar Kovacevic 0–1 James Duckworth (1).
Statistics
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | James Duckworth | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-13.2 | 12.1-13.1 |
| Aces | 9.5 | 8.2 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 75.6% | 71.9% |
| Break % | 42.5% | 26% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5 · Bet365 line 25.5 · -2
Over 25.5: 36% · 1.83
Under 25.5: 64% · 1.83
H2H · Aleksandar Kovacevic 0 – 1 James Duckworth (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aleksandar Kovacevic 0–1 James Duckworth
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/22 Challenger Seoul | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksandar Kovacevic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Almaty · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 07/10 | Matteo Berrettini ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/09 | Jaume Munar ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Zachary Svajda ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 24/09 | Lloyd Harris ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Valentin Vacherot US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 28/08 | Arthur Fery ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Luca Van Assche ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Felix Balshaw ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
James Duckworth
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Luciano Darderi ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/10 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Liam Draxl Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Kamil Majchrzak Davis Cup |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 03/09 | Yibing Wu US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-19 | L |
| 31/08 | Matteo Arnaldi US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-18 | W |
| 28/08 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksandar Kovacevic vs James Duckworth?
Our model gives 56% to Aleksandar Kovacevic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.