Tennis · W15 Bol · 24/10, 09:00
Prediction: Daria Gorska vs Mia Horvit
Team pages: Daria Gorska · Mia Horvit
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Gorska
Mia Horvit
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Gorska
5-5 (W-L)
Mia Horvit
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Gorska 1489 · Mia Horvit 1582
| Daria Gorska | Mia Horvit | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mia Horvit (rating 1489 vs 1582).
- Mia Horvit is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Daria Gorska makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Daria Gorska | Mia Horvit | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.5 | 11.6-7.9 |
| Aces | 1 | 2 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60.2% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 64.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Gorska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/10 | Mariya Yemshanova W15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/10 | Andrea Obradovic W15 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Amy Sucha W15 Radom |
0-2 | 0-8 | L |
| 09/09 | Izabela Heinzova W15 Radom |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Megan Heuser W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Sonja Zhenikhova W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Julia Adams W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/08 | Alana Smith WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Sophia Ksandinov W15 Bielsko Biala |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
Mia Horvit
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Anita Tu W15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Lea Sabadi W15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Veronika Sekerkova W15 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Lana Virc W15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/10 | Andrea Obradovic UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 10/10 | Laura Svatikova UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Xiang Liu UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/10 | Mariia Pryshchepa UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/10 | Katerina Oustampasidou UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/10 | Julia Terziyska UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Gorska vs Mia Horvit?
Our model gives 70% to Mia Horvit, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.