Tennis · W15 Bol · 21/10, 10:00

Prediction: Mariia Masiianskaia vs Anna Petkovic

Team pages: Mariia Masiianskaia · Anna Petkovic

Prediction summary
Winner
23% 77%
Mariia Masiianskaia Anna Petkovic
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Mariia Masiianskaia 2-8 (W-L)
WLLWLLLLLL
Anna Petkovic 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWLWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mariia Masiianskaia 1432 · Anna Petkovic 1541
Mariia MasiianskaiaAnna Petkovic
Our model35%65%
Market13%87%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anna Petkovic (rating 1432 vs 1541).
  • Anna Petkovic is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Anna Petkovic makes many double faults (4.5/match).

Statistics

Mariia MasiianskaiaAnna Petkovic
Win %20%70%
Win % · Clay 29% (7) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.61.4-0.6
Games (G-P)8-10.810.8-7.8
Aces0.70.4
Double faults3.74.5
1st serve %55.9%61.8%
Break %55.6%56.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mariia Masiianskaia

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/10 Estella Jaeger
W15 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
23/09 Irem Kurt
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
16/09 Matilde Mariani
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
09/09 Yasmine Mansouri
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
31/08 Valeria Garnevska
W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 7-9 L
24/08 Xinran Sun
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
23/08 Ulyana Hrabavets
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
09/08 Nahia Berecoechea
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
07/08 Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 12-14 L
06/08 Ustiniya Lekomtseva
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Anna Petkovic

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/10 Tara Wuerth
W15 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
17/10 Didi Bredberg Canizares
W15 Bol · ~Clay
2-0 13-5 W
16/10 Ani Amiraghyan
W15 Bol · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
15/10 Zala Bizjak
W15 Bol · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
13/10 Aurora Nosei
W15 Bol · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
07/10 Marta Lombardini
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
06/10 Giulia Paterno
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
24/09 Denise Valente
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
23/09 Angella Okutoyi
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
22/09 Iva Ivanovic
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mariia Masiianskaia vs Anna Petkovic?

Our model gives 77% to Anna Petkovic, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.