Prediction: Daria Gorska vs Mariya Yemshanova
Team pages: Daria Gorska · Mariya Yemshanova
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Gorska
Mariya Yemshanova
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Gorska
4-6 (W-L)
Mariya Yemshanova
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Gorska 1446 · Mariya Yemshanova 1397
| Daria Gorska | Mariya Yemshanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daria Gorska (rating 1446 vs 1397).
- Note: Mariya Yemshanova makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Daria Gorska | Mariya Yemshanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 10% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 0.3-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-11.5 | 6.3-12 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 6.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59.6% | 45% |
| Break % | 42% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Gorska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Andrea Obradovic W15 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Amy Sucha W15 Radom |
0-2 | 0-8 | L |
| 09/09 | Izabela Heinzova W15 Radom |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Megan Heuser W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Sonja Zhenikhova W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Julia Adams W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/08 | Alana Smith WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Sophia Ksandinov W15 Bielsko Biala |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 29/07 | Amelia Paszun W15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Weronika Ewald Polish National Championships (W) |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Mariya Yemshanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Zala Bizjak W15 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Emilija Miljkovic UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Mina Markovic (2009) UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Kristina Kovgan UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Milica Stosovic UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Laura Svatikova UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Denise Hrdinkova UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Eugenia Zozaya Menendez W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Laia Petretic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Gorska vs Mariya Yemshanova?
Our model gives 74% to Daria Gorska, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.