Tennis · WTA Guangzhou · 24/10, 13:00
Prediction: Anastasia Zakharova vs Ruien Zhang
Team pages: Anastasia Zakharova · Ruien Zhang
Prediction summary
Winner
Anastasia Zakharova
Ruien Zhang
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Anastasia Zakharova
3-7 (W-L)
Ruien Zhang
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anastasia Zakharova 1444 · Ruien Zhang 1486
| Anastasia Zakharova | Ruien Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ruien Zhang (rating 1444 vs 1486).
- Note: Ruien Zhang makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Anastasia Zakharova | Ruien Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.4 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-10.2 | 11.3-11.7 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.1% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 56.6% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anastasia Zakharova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/10 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/10 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Belinda Bencic WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Yushan Shao WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/09 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Naomi Osaka US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Kylie Collins WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Anna Blinkova WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Ruien Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Suzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 28/09 | Storm Hunter WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 24/09 | Meng Yi Chen W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 22/09 | Seo Yun Choi W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/09 | Sijia Wei W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Wushuang Zheng W35 Shenyang |
0-1 | 4-7 | L |
| 17/09 | JiaYi Wang W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/09 | Rina Saigo W35 Shenyang |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Yujin Kim W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Thasaporn Naklo W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anastasia Zakharova vs Ruien Zhang?
Our model gives 69% to Anastasia Zakharova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.