Tennis · WTA Guangzhou · 24/10, 11:30
Prediction: Dayana Yastremska vs Xiaodi You
Team pages: Dayana Yastremska · Xiaodi You
Prediction summary
Winner
Dayana Yastremska
Xiaodi You
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Dayana Yastremska
4-6 (W-L)
Xiaodi You
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dayana Yastremska 1458 · Xiaodi You 1471
| Dayana Yastremska | Xiaodi You | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Dayana Yastremska makes many double faults (4.7/match).
- Note: Xiaodi You makes many double faults (6.7/match).
Statistics
| Dayana Yastremska | Xiaodi You | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-12.2 | 9.4-11 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 6.7 |
| 1st serve % | 59.7% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 43% | 46% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dayana Yastremska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Iva Jovic WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/10 | Sinja Kraus WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Caty McNally WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Janice Tjen WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Tatjana Maria WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Xiaodi You
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Jiaqi Wang W35 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Yiming Dang WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Alina Charaeva WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 13/09 | Victoria Bosio WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/09 | Luiza Fullana WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Claire Liu WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Qinwen Zheng US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W100 Landisville |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Leolia Jeanjean Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dayana Yastremska vs Xiaodi You?
Our model gives 66% to Dayana Yastremska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.