Prediction: Hayu Kinoshita vs Yulia Putintseva
Team pages: Hayu Kinoshita · Yulia Putintseva
Prediction summary
Winner
Hayu Kinoshita
Yulia Putintseva
Estimated games
21.4Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Hayu Kinoshita
4-6 (W-L)
Yulia Putintseva
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hayu Kinoshita 1443 · Yulia Putintseva 1520
| Hayu Kinoshita | Yulia Putintseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yulia Putintseva (rating 1443 vs 1520).
- Yulia Putintseva is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Hayu Kinoshita | Yulia Putintseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.7 | 11.5-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 59.7% | 60.3% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 53% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +2.9
Over 18.5: 70% · 1.80
Under 18.5: 30% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hayu Kinoshita
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Jia-Jing Lu WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Cadence Brace WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/09 | Victoria Rodriguez WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Oceane Dodin W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Darja Semenistaja US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Elvina Kalieva W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Yulia Putintseva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Diana Shnaider WTA Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 18/10 | Alycia Parks WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/10 | Yihan Qu WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Diana Shnaider WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 11/10 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/10 | Shuai Zhang Asian Games |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Ya-Yi Yang Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Cristina Bucsa Billie Jean King Cup · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Qinwen Zheng US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hayu Kinoshita vs Yulia Putintseva?
Our model gives 74% to Yulia Putintseva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.