Tennis · WTA Guangzhou · 24/10, 05:00
Prediction: Polina Iatcenko vs Alexandra Shubladze
Team pages: Polina Iatcenko · Alexandra Shubladze
Prediction summary
Winner
Polina Iatcenko
Alexandra Shubladze
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Polina Iatcenko
5-5 (W-L)
Alexandra Shubladze
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polina Iatcenko 1499 · Alexandra Shubladze 1595
| Polina Iatcenko | Alexandra Shubladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandra Shubladze (rating 1499 vs 1595).
- Alexandra Shubladze is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Polina Iatcenko makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Polina Iatcenko | Alexandra Shubladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.3 | 12.7-7.6 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 61.5% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 50.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polina Iatcenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Harmony Tan WTA Rovereto · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 09/10 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Dalma Galfi WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/10 | Suzan Lamens WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/09 | Erika Andreeva WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 25/09 | Ksenia Zaytseva WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Weronika Falkowska WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/09 | Viktoria Hruncakova WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Aryna Sabalenka US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Alexandra Shubladze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Emerson Jones WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Sijia Wei WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Jia-Jing Lu WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/09 | Rina Saigo WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Darya Astakhova WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Gaeul Jang WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/09 | Kristiana Sidorova W35 Shenyang |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Meiling Wang W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/09 | Yufei Ren W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polina Iatcenko vs Alexandra Shubladze?
Our model gives 64% to Alexandra Shubladze, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.