Tennis · WTA Tokyo · 24/10, 05:00

Prediction: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama

Team pages: Oleksandra Oliynykova · Mai Hontama

Prediction summary
Winner
51% 49%
Oleksandra Oliynykova Mai Hontama
Estimated games
20Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Oleksandra Oliynykova 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWLWLLWL
Mai Hontama 4-6 (W-L)
WLWWLWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oleksandra Oliynykova 1469 · Mai Hontama 1461
Oleksandra OliynykovaMai Hontama
Our model51%49%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Oleksandra OliynykovaMai Hontama
Win %40%40%
Win % · Hard 40% (10) 38% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.21-1.4
Games (G-P)7.6-9.99.9-11.7
Aces10.9
Double faults2.93.4
1st serve %50.3%49.9%
Break %65.4%36%
Estimated total games (ours) 20 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -2.5
Over 22.5: 33% · 1.83 Under 22.5: 67% · 1.83

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oleksandra Oliynykova

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Mary Stoiana
WTA Osaka · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
06/10 Wushuang Zheng
WTA Suzhou · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
30/09 Yue Yuan
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
23/09 Maja Chwalinska
WTA Singapore · Hard
0-2 1-12 L
22/09 Vivian Wolff
WTA Singapore · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
03/09 Alexandra Eala
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
01/09 Reese Brantmeier
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
26/08 Diane Parry
WTA Monterrey · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
24/08 Mayar Sherif
WTA Monterrey · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
16/08 Mirra Andreeva
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 1-12 L

Mai Hontama

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/10 Viktorija Golubic
WTA Osaka · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
06/10 Emerson Jones
WTA Suzhou · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
30/09 Katie Boulter
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
29/09 Jodie Anna Burrage
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-1 14-9 W
28/09 Alexandra Panova
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
19/09 Eunhye Lee
WTA Seoul · Hard
1-2 10-17 L
26/08 Andrea Lazaro Garcia
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 14-18 L
24/08 Lina Gjorcheska
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
08/08 Katrina Scott
W100 Landisville
0-2 4-12 L
07/08 Yeon Woo Ku
W100 Landisville
2-1 16-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama?

Our model gives 51% to Oleksandra Oliynykova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.