Prediction: Yulia Starodubtsewa vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Team pages: Yulia Starodubtsewa · Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Prediction summary
Winner
Yulia Starodubtsewa
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Estimated games
20.7Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yulia Starodubtsewa
5-5 (W-L)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yulia Starodubtsewa 1464 · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1561
| Yulia Starodubtsewa | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aliaksandra Sasnovich (rating 1464 vs 1561).
- Aliaksandra Sasnovich is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Yulia Starodubtsewa | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11.5 | 11.5-7.6 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 57.2% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 55.3% | 54.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7 · Bet365 line 21.5 · -0.8
Over 21.5: 44% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 56% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yulia Starodubtsewa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Caty McNally WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Alina Charaeva WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 06/09 | Elena Rybakina US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Maria Sakkari US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 01/09 | Ella Seidel US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/08 | Elise Mertens WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Janice Tjen WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Lilli Tagger WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Daria Snigur WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 19/10 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Anna Bondar WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/10 | Xinxin Yao WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Talia Gibson WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Junhan Zhang WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yulia Starodubtsewa vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich?
Our model gives 62% to Aliaksandra Sasnovich, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.