Tennis · WTA Tokyo · 24/10, 05:00

Prediction: Ena Shibahara vs Alycia Parks

Team pages: Ena Shibahara · Alycia Parks

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Ena Shibahara Alycia Parks
Estimated games
20.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ena Shibahara 8-2 (W-L)
WWWLWWWWWL
Alycia Parks 3-7 (W-L)
LLWLWLLLLW
Head-to-head
Ena Shibahara 1–0 Alycia Parks (1 last)
  • 15 Oct2-1 16-15W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ena Shibahara 1586 · Alycia Parks 1400
Ena ShibaharaAlycia Parks
Our model74%26%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ena Shibahara (rating 1586 vs 1400).
  • Ena Shibahara is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Ena Shibahara 1–0 Alycia Parks (1).
  • Note: Alycia Parks makes many double faults (10/match).

Statistics

Ena ShibaharaAlycia Parks
Win %80%20%
Win % · Hard 0% (1) 20% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.50.5-1.7
Games (G-P)12.2-7.77.8-12.1
Aces5.55.1
Double faults1.410
1st serve %73.8%68.7%
Break %50.5%47.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -2.4
Over 22.5: 34% · 1.83 Under 22.5: 66% · 1.83

H2H · Ena Shibahara 1 – 0 Alycia Parks (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ena Shibahara 1–0 Alycia Parks

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DateSetsGamesRes.
15/10/17
ITF Women Florence
2-116-15W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ena Shibahara

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Moyuka Uchijima
WTA Osaka · Hard
1-2 14-18 L
11/10 Naho Sato
W35 Wagga Wagga
2-0 12-5 W
10/10 I Wen Wan
W35 Wagga Wagga
2-0 13-8 W
09/10 Mutsumi Uemura
W35 Wagga Wagga
2-0 12-6 W
08/10 Monique Barry
W35 Wagga Wagga
2-0 12-1 W
07/10 Ya-Yi Yang
W35 Wagga Wagga
2-1 17-12 W
19/09 Jia-Jing Lu
W35 Kyoto
0-2 6-12 L
18/09 Natsuki Yoshimoto
W35 Kyoto
2-0 12-7 W
17/09 Yuno Kitahara
W35 Kyoto
2-0 12-3 W
15/09 Sakura Hosogi
W35 Kyoto
2-0 12-5 W

Alycia Parks

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Sara Bejlek
WTA Ningbo · Hard
1-2 12-16 L
18/10 Yulia Putintseva
WTA Ningbo · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
10/10 Aoi Ito
WTA Wuhan · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
01/10 Lin Zhu
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
23/09 Leylah Annie Fernandez
WTA Singapore · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
22/09 Mei Yamaguchi
WTA Singapore · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
15/09 Sara Bejlek
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
13/09 Varvara Lepchenko
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
2-1 14-14 W
30/08 Taylah Preston
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
27/08 Ann Li
WTA Monterrey · Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ena Shibahara vs Alycia Parks?

Our model gives 59% to Ena Shibahara, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.