Prediction: Kimberly Birrell vs Aoi Ito
Team pages: Kimberly Birrell · Aoi Ito
Prediction summary
Winner
Kimberly Birrell
Aoi Ito
Estimated games
21.9Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kimberly Birrell
6-4 (W-L)
Aoi Ito
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kimberly Birrell
3–0
Aoi Ito
(3 last)
- 01 Oct2-0 12-2W
- 20 Oct2-0 12-7W
- 10 May2-0 14-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kimberly Birrell 1556 · Aoi Ito 1487
| Kimberly Birrell | Aoi Ito | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kimberly Birrell (rating 1556 vs 1487).
- Kimberly Birrell is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Kimberly Birrell 3–0 Aoi Ito (3).
- Note: Kimberly Birrell makes many double faults (5.4/match).
- Note: Aoi Ito makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Kimberly Birrell | Aoi Ito | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-11.1 | 9.7-11.2 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 56.7% |
| Break % | 54% | 36.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.4
Over 20.5: 60% · 1.90
Under 20.5: 40% · 1.80
H2H · Kimberly Birrell 3 – 0 Aoi Ito (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kimberly Birrell 3–0 Aoi Ito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/26 WTA Beijing | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/10/24 WTA Osaka | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/05/24 ITF W75 Fukuoka | 2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kimberly Birrell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Katie Volynets WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 03/10 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Aoi Ito WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/09 | Maya Joint WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Anna Bondar WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 26/09 | Katie Volynets WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 24/09 | Yexin Ma WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Ekaterina Alexandrova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 31/08 | Petra Marcinko US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Aoi Ito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Harriet Dart WTA Osaka · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 17/10 | Tyra Caterina Grant WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/10 | Janice Tjen WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Magdalena Frech WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/10 | Alycia Parks WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Nao Hibino WTA Singapore · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 19/09 | Sofya Lansere WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Anastasia Gasanova W50 Evora |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kimberly Birrell vs Aoi Ito?
Our model gives 68% to Kimberly Birrell, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.