Tennis · W15 Villena · 22/10, 10:00
Prediction: Noemi Maines vs Maria Andrienko
Team pages: Noemi Maines · Maria Andrienko
Prediction summary
Winner
Noemi Maines
Maria Andrienko
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Noemi Maines
3-7 (W-L)
Maria Andrienko
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Noemi Maines
1–0
Maria Andrienko
(1 last)
- 05 Aug2-0 14-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Noemi Maines 1502 · Maria Andrienko 1566
| Noemi Maines | Maria Andrienko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Andrienko (rating 1502 vs 1566).
- Head-to-head: Noemi Maines 1–0 Maria Andrienko (1).
- Note: Noemi Maines makes many double faults (6.6/match).
Statistics
| Noemi Maines | Maria Andrienko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10.3 | 10.1-7.9 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 6.6 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 56.9% | 58.1% |
| Break % | 53.5% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
H2H · Noemi Maines 1 – 0 Maria Andrienko (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Noemi Maines 1–0 Maria Andrienko
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/25 W15 Brasov | 2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Noemi Maines
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Alba Maria Coromina Boluda W15 Villena · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 20/10 | Maria Paredes Perez W15 Villena · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/10 | Natalija Senic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Maria Toma W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Sara Cakarevic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Barbara Dessolis W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Briana Szabo W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/09 | Marta Lombardini W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Anna Petkovic W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/09 | Federica Trevisan W15 Fiano Romano |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Maria Andrienko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Isabel Pascual Montalvo W15 Villena · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/10 | Anna Boron W15 Villena · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/10 | Nina Radovanovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Carolina Bohrer Martins W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Caterina Odorizzi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/10 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Natalija Senic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Nicole Andrea Molaro W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/10 | Annemarie Lazar W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas W15 Varna |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Noemi Maines vs Maria Andrienko?
Our model gives 57% to Maria Andrienko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.