Tennis · W15 Villena · 21/10, 10:00
Prediction: Aleksandra Pozarenko vs Anastasia Bertacchi
Team pages: Aleksandra Pozarenko · Anastasia Bertacchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksandra Pozarenko
Anastasia Bertacchi
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksandra Pozarenko
5-5 (W-L)
Anastasia Bertacchi
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksandra Pozarenko 1523 · Anastasia Bertacchi 1481
| Aleksandra Pozarenko | Anastasia Bertacchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aleksandra Pozarenko (rating 1523 vs 1481).
- Aleksandra Pozarenko is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Aleksandra Pozarenko makes many double faults (6.5/match).
- Note: Anastasia Bertacchi makes many double faults (7.3/match).
Statistics
| Aleksandra Pozarenko | Anastasia Bertacchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-9 | 10.2-12 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 6.5 | 7.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 54.8% |
| Break % | 59.7% | 51% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksandra Pozarenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Farah Heddar W15 Villena · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/09 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Isabelle Cherny W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 01/09 | Georgina Garcia-Perez W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W15 Torello · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Charo Esquiva Banuls W15 Logrono |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Petra Konjikusic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Mia Milisavljevic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Viktoria Veleva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/07 | Nadja Mladenovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-6 | W |
Anastasia Bertacchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Pauline Dore W15 Villena · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 08/10 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Barakat Oyinlomo Quadre W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Marta Soriano Santiago W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Ellie Daniels W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 22/09 | Klara Blazkova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Mara Guth W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Ksenia Zaytseva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Ustiniya Lekomtseva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksandra Pozarenko vs Anastasia Bertacchi?
Our model gives 56% to Anastasia Bertacchi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.