Tennis · WTA Ningbo · 23/10, 07:00
Prediction: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova
Team pages: Sara Bejlek · Marie Bouzkova
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Bejlek
Marie Bouzkova
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Bejlek
3-7 (W-L)
Marie Bouzkova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Bejlek 1505 · Marie Bouzkova 1533
| Sara Bejlek | Marie Bouzkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Sara Bejlek | Marie Bouzkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.9 | 12-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 67% |
| Break % | 47% | 51.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Bejlek
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Sorana Cirstea WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/10 | Alycia Parks WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 12/10 | Jasmine Paolini WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Naomi Osaka WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Maddison Inglis WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/09 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Alycia Parks WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Cristina Bucsa US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 23/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Madison Keys WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Marie Bouzkova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/10 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 03/10 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Sonay Kartal Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 05/09 | Iga Swiatek US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 03/09 | Harriet Dart US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/08 | Elsa Jacquemot US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova?
Our model gives 56% to Marie Bouzkova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.