Tennis · W50 Austin · 21/10, 17:00
Prediction: Sloane Stephens vs Thea Frodin
Team pages: Sloane Stephens · Thea Frodin
Prediction summary
Winner
Sloane Stephens
Thea Frodin
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Sloane Stephens
6-4 (W-L)
Thea Frodin
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sloane Stephens 1532 · Thea Frodin 1547
| Sloane Stephens | Thea Frodin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Thea Frodin dominates on serve: 6 aces and 44.4% break avg.
- Note: Thea Frodin makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Sloane Stephens | Thea Frodin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-9.8 | 11.9-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 6 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 6.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 56.5% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sloane Stephens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Ashley Lahey W50 Austin |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 18/10 | Kristina Liutova W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/10 | Julieta Pareja W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/10 | Dana Guzman W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/10 | Madison Brengle W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Whitney Osuigwe W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Peyton Stearns WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Janice Tjen WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/09 | Carole Monnet WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/09 | Marta Kostyuk US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Thea Frodin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Reina Goto W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/10 | Adriana Reami W50 Austin |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 19/10 | Nadia Elle Valdez W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/10 | Renata Zarazua W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 12/10 | Shria Atturu W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/10 | Diletta Cherubini W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/10 | Yekaterina Dmitrichenko W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Julieta Pareja W100 Templeton |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Elena Rybakina US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sloane Stephens vs Thea Frodin?
Our model gives 70% to Sloane Stephens, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.