Tennis · W50 Austin · 22/10, 18:00
Prediction: Ella Mcdonald vs Rebecca Munk Mortensen
Team pages: Ella Mcdonald · Rebecca Munk Mortensen
Prediction summary
Winner
Ella Mcdonald
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Ella Mcdonald
8-2 (W-L)
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ella Mcdonald 1637 · Rebecca Munk Mortensen 1567
| Ella Mcdonald | Rebecca Munk Mortensen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ella Mcdonald (rating 1637 vs 1567).
- Note: Ella Mcdonald makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Ella Mcdonald | Rebecca Munk Mortensen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-6.5 | 11.1-8 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ella Mcdonald
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Rose Marie Nijkamp W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/10 | Iryna Shymanovich W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/10 | Mathilde Ngijol Carre W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/10 | Kate Fakih W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/10 | Kristina Penickova W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Whitney Osuigwe W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Savannah Broadus W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Arina Bulatova W100 Templeton |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Katherine Hui W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/09 | Kayla Day W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Amelie Van Impe W50 Austin |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Akasha Urhobo W50 Austin |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 19/10 | Yuliya Hatouka W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/10 | Diae El Jardi W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Tian Jialin W35 Lagos |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Sofia Camila Rojas W50 Yecla |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/09 | Paula Cembranos W50 Yecla |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Carlota Corte W50 Yecla |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/09 | Reese Brantmeier W50 Evora |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Berta Bonardi W50 Evora |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ella Mcdonald vs Rebecca Munk Mortensen?
Our model gives 68% to Ella Mcdonald.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.