Tennis · W50 Austin · 21/10, 17:00
Prediction: Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez vs Madison Brengle
Team pages: Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez · Madison Brengle
Prediction summary
Winner
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Madison Brengle
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
5-5 (W-L)
Madison Brengle
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 1493 · Madison Brengle 1560
| Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | Madison Brengle | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Madison Brengle (rating 1493 vs 1560).
- Madison Brengle is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | Madison Brengle | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-9.9 | 10.9-7.9 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 58.9% | 56.2% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 44.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Sofia Johnson W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Jo Yee Chan W35 Redding |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Francesca Pace W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 08/10 | Kristina Penickova W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 07/10 | Maria Sholokhova W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Katie Swan W50 Evora |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Adithya Karunaratne W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/08 | Mia Pohankova WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Madison Brengle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Raquel Caballero Chica W50 Austin |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 16/10 | Sloane Stephens W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Hanna Chang W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/10 | Astra Sharma W50 Lexington |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Lea Ma W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/10 | Aspen Schuman W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/10 | Mckenna Schaefbauer W50 Lexington |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 04/10 | Tatjana Maria W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Julieta Pareja W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/10 | Amelie Van Impe W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez vs Madison Brengle?
Our model gives 70% to Madison Brengle, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.