Tennis · W50 Austin · 22/10, 17:00
Prediction: Xinyu Gao vs Anastasia Tikhonova
Team pages: Xinyu Gao · Anastasia Tikhonova
Prediction summary
Winner
Xinyu Gao
Anastasia Tikhonova
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Xinyu Gao
4-6 (W-L)
Anastasia Tikhonova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xinyu Gao 1501 · Anastasia Tikhonova 1469
| Xinyu Gao | Anastasia Tikhonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Anastasia Tikhonova makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Xinyu Gao | Anastasia Tikhonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-9.7 | 9-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 6.1 |
| 1st serve % | 55.4% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 60.6% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xinyu Gao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Whitney Osuigwe W50 Austin |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Akasha Urhobo W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Iga Swiatek WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Panna Udvardy WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Francisca Jorge WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Sofia Johnson W50 Evora |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Elena Micic W50 Evora |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 28/08 | Barbora Palicova W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Zongyu Li W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Anastasia Tikhonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W50 Austin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/10 | Mariia Tkacheva WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Simona Waltert WTA Adana · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 27/09 | Viktoria Hruncakova WTA Adana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/09 | Aysegul Mert WTA Adana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Anastasia Gasanova WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Whitney Osuigwe WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Maria Florencia Urrutia WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/09 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xinyu Gao vs Anastasia Tikhonova?
Our model gives 64% to Xinyu Gao, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.