Tennis · M25 Redbridge · 21/10, 12:30
Prediction: Sebastian Sorger vs Finn Murgett
Team pages: Sebastian Sorger · Finn Murgett
Prediction summary
Winner
Sebastian Sorger
Finn Murgett
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sebastian Sorger
9-1 (W-L)
Finn Murgett
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sebastian Sorger 1525 · Finn Murgett 1544
| Sebastian Sorger | Finn Murgett | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Sebastian Sorger | Finn Murgett | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-9.8 | 11.6-9.8 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 57% | 52.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sebastian Sorger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Rhys Lawlor M25 Redbridge |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 23/09 | Stepan Baum M25 Pardubice |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/09 | Martin Krumich Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/08 | Samuele Pieri M25 Maribor |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 28/08 | Giuseppe La Vela M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Miha Vetrih M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Jan Kupcic M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/08 | Jonas Gundacker M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Finn Murgett
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Bader Idrees M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Amit Vales M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Peter Makk M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Odysseas Geladaris M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-0 | 8-5 | W |
| 09/10 | Jakub Filip M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 08/10 | Mathieu Scaglia M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Melios Efstathiou M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Michael Agwi M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/09 | Diogo Marques M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sebastian Sorger vs Finn Murgett?
Our model gives 59% to Sebastian Sorger, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.