Tennis · M25 Redbridge · 22/10, 11:00

Prediction: Mika Petkovic vs Oliver Tarvet

Team pages: Mika Petkovic · Oliver Tarvet

Prediction summary
Winner
36% 64%
Mika Petkovic Oliver Tarvet
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mika Petkovic 6-4 (W-L)
WLLWLWWLWW
Oliver Tarvet 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWWLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mika Petkovic 1587 · Oliver Tarvet 1574
Mika PetkovicOliver Tarvet
Our model52%48%
Market23%77%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Mika PetkovicOliver Tarvet
Win %80%80%
Win % · Hard – 75% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.61.7-0.5
Games (G-P)12.5-9.412.3-8.4
Aces4.35.2
Double faults1.51.2
1st serve %73.9%79.5%
Break %62.6%48.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mika Petkovic

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/10 Billy Blaydes
M25 Redbridge
2-0 12-5 W
20/10 Jelle Sels
M25 Redbridge
2-0 13-8 W
17/10 Calvin Mueller
M15 Offenbach
2-1 17-11 W
16/10 Leonardo Rossi
M15 Offenbach
2-0 13-8 W
15/10 David Eichenseher
M15 Offenbach
2-0 12-3 W
14/10 Julien Penzlin
M15 Offenbach
2-1 17-15 W
12/10 Jakub Kusy
M15 Offenbach
2-0 12-5 W
28/09 Vitaliy Sachko
Challenger Bari · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
25/09 Francesco Forti
Challenger Genoa · Clay
1-2 13-17 L
24/09 Raul Brancaccio
Challenger Genoa · Clay
2-0 13-10 W

Oliver Tarvet

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/10 Jake Evans
M25 Redbridge
2-0 12-4 W
20/10 Pietro Orlando Fellin
M25 Redbridge
2-0 12-4 W
08/10 Laslo Djere
Challenger Villena · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
07/10 Francesco Maestrelli
Challenger Villena · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
05/10 Diego Dedura-Palomero
Challenger Villena · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
04/10 Mathys Erhard
Challenger Villena · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
28/08 Charles Broom
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
1-2 12-17 L
27/08 Emile Hudd
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
26/08 Oliver Bonding
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
25/08 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 12-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mika Petkovic vs Oliver Tarvet?

Our model gives 64% to Oliver Tarvet, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.