Tennis · M25 Redbridge · 23/10, 11:00
Prediction: Finn Murgett vs Oliver Tarvet
Team pages: Finn Murgett · Oliver Tarvet
Prediction summary
Winner
Finn Murgett
Oliver Tarvet
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Finn Murgett
8-2 (W-L)
Oliver Tarvet
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Finn Murgett 1546 · Oliver Tarvet 1565
| Finn Murgett | Oliver Tarvet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Oliver Tarvet dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 45.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Finn Murgett | Oliver Tarvet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.3 | 12.5-8.8 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.1% | 78% |
| Break % | 54.6% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Finn Murgett
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | George Loffhagen M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 8-6 | W |
| 21/10 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/10 | Bader Idrees M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Amit Vales M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Peter Makk M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Odysseas Geladaris M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-0 | 8-5 | W |
| 09/10 | Jakub Filip M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 08/10 | Mathieu Scaglia M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Melios Efstathiou M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Michael Agwi M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Oliver Tarvet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Mika Petkovic M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/10 | Jake Evans M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/10 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/10 | Laslo Djere Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 05/10 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/08 | Charles Broom Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 27/08 | Emile Hudd Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Oliver Bonding Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Finn Murgett vs Oliver Tarvet?
Our model gives 72% to Oliver Tarvet, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.