Tennis · M25 Redbridge · 21/10, 11:00

Prediction: Kyle Mckay vs Viktor Durasovic

Team pages: Kyle Mckay · Viktor Durasovic

Prediction summary
Winner
33% 67%
Kyle Mckay Viktor Durasovic
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Kyle Mckay 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWWLWWL
Viktor Durasovic 5-5 (W-L)
LLLWLLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kyle Mckay 1564 · Viktor Durasovic 1500
Kyle MckayViktor Durasovic
Our model59%41%
Market12%88%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kyle Mckay (rating 1564 vs 1500).
  • Viktor Durasovic dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 45.6% break avg.
  • Kyle Mckay is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Kyle MckayViktor Durasovic
Win %80%50%
Win % · Hard 71% (7) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.51.1-1.2
Games (G-P)10.4-8.511.1-11.6
Aces36.4
Double faults1.32
1st serve %73.7%69%
Break %52.7%45.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kyle Mckay

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Ivan Dorokhov
M25 Redbridge
2-1 15-12 W
19/10 Jake Fellows
M25 Redbridge
2-0 12-7 W
18/10 Mason Dace
M25 Redbridge
2-0 13-7 W
29/08 Ferran Redza
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
0-2 1-12 L
27/08 Henry Bowden
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
26/08 William Mclennaghan
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
24/08 Harrison McElnea
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
17/05 Ewen Lumsden
UTR Pro Stirling · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
16/05 Cameron Fryer
UTR Pro Stirling · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
14/05 Euan Mcintosh
UTR Pro Stirling · Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Viktor Durasovic

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Vladislav Melnic
M25 Redbridge
2-0 12-8 W
13/10 Stefano Travaglia
Challenger Olbia · Hard
1-2 14-16 L
12/10 Christian Langmo
Challenger Olbia · Hard
2-1 16-15 W
11/10 Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Challenger Olbia · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
29/09 Ugo Blanchet
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
28/09 Manas Manoj Dhamne
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
2-1 16-10 W
27/09 Matisse Bobichon
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
31/08 Sergio Callejon Hernando
Challenger Manacor · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
25/08 Oliver Bonding
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
19/08 Lucas Poullain
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kyle Mckay vs Viktor Durasovic?

Our model gives 67% to Viktor Durasovic, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.