Tennis · M25 Redbridge · 21/10, 11:00

Prediction: Roan Jones vs Paul Jubb

Team pages: Roan Jones · Paul Jubb

Prediction summary
Winner
27% 73%
Roan Jones Paul Jubb
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Roan Jones 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLWWLLW
Paul Jubb 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWLWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Roan Jones 1534 · Paul Jubb 1622
Roan JonesPaul Jubb
Our model38%62%
Market19%81%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paul Jubb (rating 1534 vs 1622).
  • Paul Jubb is in better form: 90% recent wins.

Statistics

Roan JonesPaul Jubb
Win %60%90%
Win % · Hard 63% (8) 88% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.2-0.81.9-0.3
Games (G-P)10-8.512.1-7.9
Aces3.53.4
Double faults1.62.6
1st serve %71.1%72.2%
Break %50%52.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Roan Jones

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Jared Horwood
M25 Redbridge
2-0 13-6 W
07/10 Guillaume Dalmasso
M15 Rodez
0-2 11-14 L
11/09 Cesar Bouchelaghem
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
10/09 Carel Aubriel Ngounoue
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
08/09 Nicolas Jadoun
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
05/09 Cesar Bouchelaghem
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
03/09 Hazem Naw
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 9-2 W
02/09 Theo Herrmann
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
28/08 Daniel Jade
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
27/08 Mae Malige
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W

Paul Jubb

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Patrick Foley
M25 Redbridge
2-0 12-5 W
04/10 Fares Zakaria
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-1 14-13 W
03/10 Robert Strombachs
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
02/10 Amr Asrawy
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
01/10 Zangar Nurlanuly
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 10-5 W
26/09 Karan Singh
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
1-2 10-15 L
25/09 Pietro Orlando Fellin
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
24/09 Marwan Ehab
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
23/09 Tomas Lanik
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 14-12 W
20/09 Charles Bertimon
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Roan Jones vs Paul Jubb?

Our model gives 73% to Paul Jubb, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.