Tennis · WTA Ningbo · 22/10, 05:00
Prediction: Katarzyna Kawa vs Belinda Bencic
Team pages: Katarzyna Kawa · Belinda Bencic
Prediction summary
Winner
Katarzyna Kawa
Belinda Bencic
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Katarzyna Kawa
5-5 (W-L)
Belinda Bencic
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katarzyna Kawa 1499 · Belinda Bencic 1510
| Katarzyna Kawa | Belinda Bencic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Katarzyna Kawa makes many double faults (6.3/match).
- Note: Belinda Bencic makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Katarzyna Kawa | Belinda Bencic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.5 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-14 | 12.5-11.1 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 59.3% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 44.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katarzyna Kawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Daria Snigur WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Daria Snigur WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Valeria Savinykh WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Rinko Matsuda WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 14/09 | Maria Garcia Cid WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Eva Bennemann WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Ekaterine Gorgodze US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Eva Lys WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Justina Mikulskyte WTA Warsaw · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 03/08 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Belinda Bencic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Sonay Kartal WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Ann Li WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Yulia Putintseva US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 10/08 | Alexandra Eala WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/08 | Taylor Townsend WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 05/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Coco Gauff Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Anna Kalinskaya Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 01/07 | Xinyu Wang Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katarzyna Kawa vs Belinda Bencic?
Our model gives 70% to Belinda Bencic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.