Tennis · M25 Redbridge · 21/10, 11:00

Prediction: Mika Petkovic vs Billy Blaydes

Team pages: Mika Petkovic · Billy Blaydes

Prediction summary
Winner
72% 28%
Mika Petkovic Billy Blaydes
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mika Petkovic 5-5 (W-L)
LWLLWLWWLW
Billy Blaydes 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mika Petkovic 1587 · Billy Blaydes 1491
Mika PetkovicBilly Blaydes
Our model63%37%
Market78%22%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mika Petkovic (rating 1587 vs 1491).
  • Mika Petkovic is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Mika PetkovicBilly Blaydes
Win %80%50%
Win % · Hard – 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.71.3-1.1
Games (G-P)12.9-1011.8-11
Aces4.33.2
Double faults1.42.2
1st serve %72.9%68.9%
Break %63.7%47.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mika Petkovic

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Jelle Sels
M25 Redbridge
2-0 13-8 W
17/10 Calvin Mueller
M15 Offenbach
2-1 17-11 W
16/10 Leonardo Rossi
M15 Offenbach
2-0 13-8 W
15/10 David Eichenseher
M15 Offenbach
2-0 12-3 W
14/10 Julien Penzlin
M15 Offenbach
2-1 17-15 W
12/10 Jakub Kusy
M15 Offenbach
2-0 12-5 W
28/09 Vitaliy Sachko
Challenger Bari · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
25/09 Francesco Forti
Challenger Genoa · Clay
1-2 13-17 L
24/09 Raul Brancaccio
Challenger Genoa · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
22/09 Thiago Monteiro
Challenger Genoa · Clay
2-1 16-11 W

Billy Blaydes

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Conor Brady
M25 Redbridge
2-1 15-13 W
23/09 Daniel Domingos
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 12-17 L
17/09 Nazim Makhlouf
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 15-13 L
16/09 Ammar Elamin
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
24/08 Matteo Martineau
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
1-2 10-16 L
18/08 Michael Geerts
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
17/08 John Echeverria
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
16/08 Alexis Gautier
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
06/08 Alex Rybakov
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
04/08 Anuj Watane
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mika Petkovic vs Billy Blaydes?

Our model gives 72% to Mika Petkovic, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.