Tennis · WTA Ningbo · 22/10, 05:00
Prediction: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider
Team pages: Alexandra Eala · Diana Shnaider
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexandra Eala
Diana Shnaider
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alexandra Eala
8-2 (W-L)
Diana Shnaider
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexandra Eala 1488 · Diana Shnaider 1568
| Alexandra Eala | Diana Shnaider | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diana Shnaider (rating 1488 vs 1568).
- Diana Shnaider is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alexandra Eala | Diana Shnaider | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11.9 | 12-8.8 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexandra Eala
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Diane Parry WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/10 | Han Shi WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/10 | Xiyu Wang Asian Games |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 24/09 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Singapore · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/09 | Iva Jovic US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 03/09 | Oleksandra Oliynykova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Mary Stoiana US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Amanda Anisimova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 10/08 | Belinda Bencic WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Caty McNally WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Diana Shnaider
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/10 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Karolina Muchova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/10 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Katie Boulter WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/10 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 02/10 | Janice Tjen WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/09 | Taylor Townsend US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Karolina Pliskova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Daria Snigur US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider?
Our model gives 60% to Diana Shnaider, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.