Tennis · WTA Ningbo · 21/10, 05:00
Prediction: Marie Bouzkova vs Anastasia Zakharova
Team pages: Marie Bouzkova · Anastasia Zakharova
Prediction summary
Winner
Marie Bouzkova
Anastasia Zakharova
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Bouzkova
7-3 (W-L)
Anastasia Zakharova
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marie Bouzkova 1531 · Anastasia Zakharova 1442
| Marie Bouzkova | Anastasia Zakharova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marie Bouzkova (rating 1531 vs 1442).
- Marie Bouzkova is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Anastasia Zakharova makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Marie Bouzkova | Anastasia Zakharova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.6-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10.9 | 8.6-10.1 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 59.3% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marie Bouzkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/10 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 03/10 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Sonay Kartal Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 05/09 | Iga Swiatek US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 03/09 | Harriet Dart US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/08 | Elsa Jacquemot US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Iva Jovic WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Anastasia Zakharova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/10 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Belinda Bencic WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Yushan Shao WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/09 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Naomi Osaka US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Kylie Collins WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Anna Blinkova WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marie Bouzkova vs Anastasia Zakharova?
Our model gives 68% to Marie Bouzkova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.