Tennis · W50 Austin · 20/10, 17:00
Prediction: Iryna Shymanovich vs Ella Mcdonald
Team pages: Iryna Shymanovich · Ella Mcdonald
Prediction summary
Winner
Iryna Shymanovich
Ella Mcdonald
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Iryna Shymanovich
4-6 (W-L)
Ella Mcdonald
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Iryna Shymanovich 1491 · Ella Mcdonald 1623
| Iryna Shymanovich | Ella Mcdonald | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ella Mcdonald (rating 1491 vs 1623).
- Ella Mcdonald is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Iryna Shymanovich makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Ella Mcdonald makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Iryna Shymanovich | Ella Mcdonald | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-10.3 | 12.6-7.1 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.1% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 54.9% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Iryna Shymanovich
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Kelly Keller UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Tanvi Pandey UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/09 | Kristina Penickova W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Ana Sofia Sanchez WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Julieta Pareja US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Rebeka Masarova US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 04/08 | Polina Iatcenko W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Katie Volynets WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Ella Mcdonald
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Mathilde Ngijol Carre W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/10 | Kate Fakih W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/10 | Kristina Penickova W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Whitney Osuigwe W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Savannah Broadus W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Arina Bulatova W100 Templeton |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Katherine Hui W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/09 | Kayla Day W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Madison Brengle W50 Berkeley |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 24/09 | Savannah Broadus W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Iryna Shymanovich vs Ella Mcdonald?
Our model gives 62% to Ella Mcdonald, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.