Tennis · W50 Austin · 20/10, 18:30
Prediction: Reina Goto vs Thea Frodin
Team pages: Reina Goto · Thea Frodin
Prediction summary
Winner
Reina Goto
Thea Frodin
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Reina Goto
4-6 (W-L)
Thea Frodin
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Reina Goto 1490 · Thea Frodin 1532
| Reina Goto | Thea Frodin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thea Frodin (rating 1490 vs 1532).
- Thea Frodin dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 41.5% break avg.
- Note: Thea Frodin makes many double faults (7.4/match).
Statistics
| Reina Goto | Thea Frodin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-12.2 | 11.8-11.4 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 7.4 |
| 1st serve % | 53.2% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 53.7% | 41.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Reina Goto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Martina Okalova W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Kate Fakih W100 Templeton |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 24/09 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Johanne C Svendsen W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Clervie Ngounoue W100 Landisville |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Jantje Tilbuerger W75 Lexington |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Mei Yamaguchi W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Victoria Osuigwe W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 25/06 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Thea Frodin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Adriana Reami W50 Austin |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 19/10 | Nadia Elle Valdez W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/10 | Renata Zarazua W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 12/10 | Shria Atturu W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/10 | Diletta Cherubini W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/10 | Yekaterina Dmitrichenko W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Julieta Pareja W100 Templeton |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Elena Rybakina US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Anastasia Kulikova W75 Lexington |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Reina Goto vs Thea Frodin?
Our model gives 64% to Thea Frodin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.