Tennis · M25 Redbridge · 20/10, 12:30
Prediction: Pietro Orlando Fellin vs Oliver Tarvet
Team pages: Pietro Orlando Fellin · Oliver Tarvet
Prediction summary
Winner
Pietro Orlando Fellin
Oliver Tarvet
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Pietro Orlando Fellin
4-6 (W-L)
Oliver Tarvet
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pietro Orlando Fellin 1481 · Oliver Tarvet 1591
| Pietro Orlando Fellin | Oliver Tarvet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oliver Tarvet (rating 1481 vs 1591).
- Oliver Tarvet dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 46.3% break avg.
- Oliver Tarvet is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Pietro Orlando Fellin | Oliver Tarvet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-11.5 | 12.5-9.1 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 77.7% |
| Break % | 24.9% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pietro Orlando Fellin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Lukas Pokorny M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Jonas Gundacker M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Tanguy Genier M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 30/09 | Michal Krajci M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Paul Jubb M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Karim Ibrahim M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 23/09 | Aziz Ouakaa M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Luca Potenza Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
Oliver Tarvet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Laslo Djere Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 05/10 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/08 | Charles Broom Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 27/08 | Emile Hudd Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Oliver Bonding Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/08 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pietro Orlando Fellin vs Oliver Tarvet?
Our model gives 77% to Oliver Tarvet, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.