Tennis · M25 Redbridge · 20/10, 12:30
Prediction: Sebastian Sorger vs Rhys Lawlor
Team pages: Sebastian Sorger · Rhys Lawlor
Prediction summary
Winner
Sebastian Sorger
Rhys Lawlor
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Sebastian Sorger
9-1 (W-L)
Rhys Lawlor
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sebastian Sorger 1525 · Rhys Lawlor 1478
| Sebastian Sorger | Rhys Lawlor | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Sorger (rating 1525 vs 1478).
- Note: Rhys Lawlor makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Sebastian Sorger | Rhys Lawlor | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-8.7 | 10.4-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 55.3% | 48.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sebastian Sorger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Stepan Baum M25 Pardubice |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/09 | Martin Krumich Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/08 | Samuele Pieri M25 Maribor |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 28/08 | Giuseppe La Vela M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Miha Vetrih M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Jan Kupcic M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/08 | Jonas Gundacker M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Rhys Lawlor
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Nicolas Tepmahc Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Lui Maxted M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 03/08 | Vincent Fletcher M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/08 | William Mclennaghan M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | James Story M25 Aldershot |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 13/06 | James McCabe Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Anton Matusevich M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/05 | Patrick Zahraj M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Ali Habib M25 Nottingham |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 28/04 | Pablo De La Cierva Sanchez M25 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sebastian Sorger vs Rhys Lawlor?
Our model gives 73% to Sebastian Sorger, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.