Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 20/10, 10:00
Prediction: Ewen Lumsden vs Louis Tessa
Team pages: Ewen Lumsden · Louis Tessa
Prediction summary
Winner
Ewen Lumsden
Louis Tessa
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Ewen Lumsden
6-4 (W-L)
Louis Tessa
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ewen Lumsden 1556 · Louis Tessa 1470
| Ewen Lumsden | Louis Tessa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ewen Lumsden (rating 1556 vs 1470).
- Ewen Lumsden is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ewen Lumsden | Louis Tessa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-10.7 | 10.2-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 63% |
| Break % | 51.4% | 41% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ewen Lumsden
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Jack Loge M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 30/09 | Andrea Colombo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 25/09 | Toby Martin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 24/09 | Mae Malige M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Alexander Watanabe Eriksson M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Kasra Rahmani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 18/09 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/09 | William Nolan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Jacopo Denitto M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/05 | Kyle Mckay UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Louis Tessa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Emilien Demanet M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 29/09 | Isaac Nortey M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Peter Makk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Pranav Karthik M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 29/06 | Mert Aytekin M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Pieter De Lange M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Daniel Verbeek M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/04 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 08/04 | Yannik Kelm M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/03 | Anton Shepp M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ewen Lumsden vs Louis Tessa?
Our model gives 67% to Ewen Lumsden, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.