Tennis · W35 Monastir · 20/10, 13:30
Prediction: Oriana Gniewkowska vs Sofia Camila Rojas
Team pages: Oriana Gniewkowska · Sofia Camila Rojas
Prediction summary
Winner
Oriana Gniewkowska
Sofia Camila Rojas
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Oriana Gniewkowska
3-7 (W-L)
Sofia Camila Rojas
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oriana Gniewkowska 1448 · Sofia Camila Rojas 1531
| Oriana Gniewkowska | Sofia Camila Rojas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sofia Camila Rojas (rating 1448 vs 1531).
- Sofia Camila Rojas is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Oriana Gniewkowska | Sofia Camila Rojas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.5-10.2 | 10.2-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 58.7% |
| Break % | 34.6% | 41.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oriana Gniewkowska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Jessica Hinojosa Gomez W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Nour Sahnoun W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/09 | Julia Adams W15 Radom |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 01/09 | Emily Appleton W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Denisa Zoldakova W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Miriana Tona W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska W35 Krakow |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Georgina Garcia-Perez W35 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Lucie Petruzelova W15 Bielsko Biala |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Sofia Camila Rojas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Vaishnavi Adkar W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Ada Kumru W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/10 | Chelsea Fontenel W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 13/10 | Nina Sozaonova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Angela Fita Boluda W50 Yecla |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 23/09 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W50 Yecla |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 21/09 | Indianna Spink W50 Yecla |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 20/09 | Elizabeth Jurna W50 Yecla |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Maria Oliver Sanchez W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Elyse Tse W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oriana Gniewkowska vs Sofia Camila Rojas?
Our model gives 73% to Sofia Camila Rojas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.